Financial effort estimation - Revision history

Michel Lamontagne at 16:20, 29 July 2019

2019-07-29T16:20:47Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 17:20, 29 July 2019
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	[[Image:Space2.png\|thumb\|300px\|right\|The cost to orbit]]		[[Image:Space2.png\|thumb\|300px\|right\|The cost to orbit]]
	This page is a collection of '''Financial effort estimations'''. It covers all planning, ~~preperations~~, material, transport, administration, etc. [[Funding]] is needed to make the colonization possible.		This page is a collection of '''Financial effort estimations'''. It covers all planning, preparations, material, transport, administration, etc. [[Funding]] is needed to make the colonization possible.

	==Systematics==		==Systematics==
Line 78:		Line 78:
	These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.		These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.

	===SpaceX proposals===		==SpaceX proposals==
	SpaceX has presented a number of evolving proposals for their BFR system<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_2016.pdf</ref>. The 2016 projection for entirely recoverable twin stage to orbit with orbital refueling was 140$ per kg to Mars surface. The plans have been ~~scale~~ back somewhat<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_transcript_2017.pdf</ref>, with a 9m core launcher rather than a 12m core launcher, but the costs remain nearly two orders of magnitude under any other projections. These costs are conditional to the production of in-situ propellant for the return of the Mars lander to Earth for re-use.		SpaceX has presented a number of evolving proposals for their BFR system<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_2016.pdf</ref>. The 2016 projection for entirely recoverable twin stage to orbit with orbital refueling was 140$ per kg to Mars surface. The plans have been scaled back somewhat<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_transcript_2017.pdf</ref>, with a 9m core launcher rather than a 12m core launcher, but the costs remain nearly two orders of magnitude under any other projections. These costs are conditional to the production of in-situ propellant for the return of the Mars lander to Earth for re-use.

	==External links==		==External links==

Michel Lamontagne: /* SpaceX proposals */

2019-05-27T16:38:18Z

SpaceX proposals

← Older revision		Revision as of 17:38, 27 May 2019
Line 78:		Line 78:
	These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.		These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.

	=== SpaceX proposals ===		===SpaceX proposals===
	SpaceX has presented a number of evolving proposals for their BFR system<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_2016.pdf</ref>. The 2016 projection for entirely recoverable twin stage to orbit with orbital refueling was 140$ per kg to Mars surface. The plans have been scale back somewhat<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_transcript_2017.pdf</ref>, with a 9m core launcher rather than a 12m core launcher, but the costs remain nearly two orders of magnitude under any other projections.		SpaceX has presented a number of evolving proposals for their BFR system<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_2016.pdf</ref>. The 2016 projection for entirely recoverable twin stage to orbit with orbital refueling was 140$ per kg to Mars surface. The plans have been scale back somewhat<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_transcript_2017.pdf</ref>, with a 9m core launcher rather than a 12m core launcher, but the costs remain nearly two orders of magnitude under any other projections. These costs are conditional to the production of in-situ propellant for the return of the Mars lander to Earth for re-use.

	==External links==		==External links==

Michel Lamontagne: /* Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned) */

2019-05-27T16:35:38Z

Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned)

← Older revision		Revision as of 17:35, 27 May 2019
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	==Systematics==		==Systematics==
	There are several stages that can be calculated separately:		There are several stages that can be calculated separately:

	*Transportation from [[Earth]] to Earth's [[orbit]]		*Transportation from [[Earth]] to Earth's [[orbit]]
	*Transportation from Earth's orbit to [[Mars]]' orbit		*Transportation from Earth's orbit to [[Mars]]' orbit
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	==Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned)==		==Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned)==
	Small launch vehicles (less than 2300kg): <ref>[[http://www.futron.com/pdf/resource_center/white_papers/FutronLaunchCostWP.pdf Space Transportation Costs: Trends in price per pound to orbit]</ref>		Small launch vehicles (less than 2300kg): <ref>[[http://www.futron.com/pdf/resource_center/white_papers/FutronLaunchCostWP.pdf Space Transportation Costs: Trends in price per pound to orbit]</ref>

	*USA, Athena 2 (2065kg to LEO): $11622 per kg		*USA, Athena 2 (2065kg to LEO): $11622 per kg
	*Russia, Cosmos (1500kg to LEO): $8667 per kg		*Russia, Cosmos (1500kg to LEO): $8667 per kg
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	Medium launch vehicles (less than 12000kg):		Medium launch vehicles (less than 12000kg):

	*Europe, Ariane 44L (10200kg to LEO): $11029 per kg (last launch 2003)		*Europe, Ariane 44L (10200kg to LEO): $11029 per kg (last launch 2003)
	*USA, Atlas 2AS (8618kg to LEO): $11314 per kg		*USA, Atlas 2AS (8618kg to LEO): $11314 per kg
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	Heavy launch vehicles (more than 12000kg):		Heavy launch vehicles (more than 12000kg):

	*Europe, Ariane 5G(18000kg to LEO): $9167 per kg		*Europe, Ariane 5G(18000kg to LEO): $9167 per kg
	*China, Long March 3B(13600kg to LEO): $4412 per kg		*China, Long March 3B(13600kg to LEO): $4412 per kg
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	*Multinational, Zenit 3SL(15876kg to LEO: $5354 per kg		*Multinational, Zenit 3SL(15876kg to LEO: $5354 per kg
	*USA, Falcon 9 Heavy (32000Kg to LEO) $2968 per kg (still in developement )		*USA, Falcon 9 Heavy (32000Kg to LEO) $2968 per kg (still in developement )

	super heavy ( saturn V class )		super heavy ( saturn V class )

	*USA, SLS ( after space shuttle withdrawal) (70 000Kg to 130 0000Kg to LEO) work in progress		*USA, SLS ( after space shuttle withdrawal) (70 000Kg to 130 0000Kg to LEO) work in progress

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	Current:		Current:

	*USA, Space Shuttle: A partially re-usable manned transportation system. Cost estimates range from $100 million to $1 billion per launch.		*USA, Space Shuttle: A partially re-usable manned transportation system. Cost estimates range from $100 million to $1 billion per launch.
	*Russia, Soyuz-TMA :A robust module in its fifth generation of Soyuz-spacecraft. Cheaper than the Space Shuttle.		*Russia, Soyuz-TMA :A robust module in its fifth generation of Soyuz-spacecraft. Cheaper than the Space Shuttle.
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	Planned:		Planned:

	*USA, SpaceX Dragon: An upcoming manned spacecraft, the first by a private corporation. Might enable cheap manned access to orbit by the SpaceX rockets using the Falcon9 rocket. Cost: $49.9 million, plus a Dragon module (cost unknown atm).		*USA, SpaceX Dragon: An upcoming manned spacecraft, the first by a private corporation. Might enable cheap manned access to orbit by the SpaceX rockets using the Falcon9 rocket. Cost: $49.9 million, plus a Dragon module (cost unknown atm).
	*USA, Orion spacecraft: Will be using the new Ares I rocket, and will replace the Space Shuttle.		*USA, Orion spacecraft: Will be using the new Ares I rocket, and will replace the Space Shuttle.

	the ares 1 and ares V programm are canceled the new SLS launcher in devellopement ( 70 000KG to 130 000KG to earth's orbit ) will be use for Orion spacecraft		the ares 1 and ares V programm are canceled the new SLS launcher in devellopement ( 70 000KG to 130 000KG to earth's orbit ) will be use for Orion spacecraft

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	==Cost estimations in existing publications==		==Cost estimations in existing publications==

	*[http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn4551-bush-to-announce-manned-mission-to-mars.html NewScientist 2004: ''"A human mission to Mars is expected to cost $40 billion to $80 billion."'']		*[http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn4551-bush-to-announce-manned-mission-to-mars.html NewScientist 2004: ''"A human mission to Mars is expected to cost $40 billion to $80 billion."'']
	*[http://www.marsdaily.com/reports/The_Appeal_Of_Mars_999.html MARS DAILY 2007: ''"U.S. experts estimate the cost of a manned mission to Mars at $500 billion. Russia believes it can place cosmonauts on the planet's surface in the next 12 years for just $14 billion, ..."'']		*[http://www.marsdaily.com/reports/The_Appeal_Of_Mars_999.html MARS DAILY 2007: ''"U.S. experts estimate the cost of a manned mission to Mars at $500 billion. Russia believes it can place cosmonauts on the planet's surface in the next 12 years for just $14 billion, ..."'']
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	These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.		These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.

			=== SpaceX proposals ===
			SpaceX has presented a number of evolving proposals for their BFR system<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_2016.pdf</ref>. The 2016 projection for entirely recoverable twin stage to orbit with orbital refueling was 140$ per kg to Mars surface. The plans have been scale back somewhat<ref>https://www.spacex.com/sites/spacex/files/making_life_multiplanetary_transcript_2017.pdf</ref>, with a 9m core launcher rather than a 12m core launcher, but the costs remain nearly two orders of magnitude under any other projections.

	==External links==		==External links==

	*[http://www-personal.umich.edu/~chadjo/talks/LaunchSystems.ppt Michigan Mars Society - Launch Systems: Today and Tomorrow]		*[http://www-personal.umich.edu/~chadjo/talks/LaunchSystems.ppt Michigan Mars Society - Launch Systems: Today and Tomorrow]

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	==References==		==References==
	<references/>		<references />

Jburk at 06:56, 18 December 2018

2018-12-18T06:56:07Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 07:56, 18 December 2018
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	*[http://www-personal.umich.edu/~chadjo/talks/LaunchSystems.ppt Michigan Mars Society - Launch Systems: Today and Tomorrow]		*[http://www-personal.umich.edu/~chadjo/talks/LaunchSystems.ppt Michigan Mars Society - Launch Systems: Today and Tomorrow]

	[[Category: ~~Concepts]]~~		[[Category: Commerce and Economics]]
	~~[[Category:~~ Economics]]

	==References==		==References==
	<references/>		<references/>

Strangelv: rv

2015-04-12T11:52:41Z

@@ Line 2: / Line 2: @@
 This page is a collection of '''Financial effort estimations'''. It covers all planning, preperations, material, transport, administration, etc. [[Funding]] is needed to make the colonization possible.
-Where To Purchase Generic Ciprofloxacin 0.3 5ml in Albuquerque faakdebkkgacaekc
+==Systematics==
-Very nice site!
+==Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned)==
-Very nice site!
+Medium launch vehicles (less than 12000kg):
-Very nice site!
+Heavy launch vehicles (more than 12000kg):

148.251.111.46: /* References */

2014-05-21T22:02:03Z

References

← Older revision		Revision as of 23:02, 21 May 2014
Line 12:		Line 12:
	Very nice site!		Very nice site!

	~~==References==~~		Very nice site!
	~~<references/>~~

201.90.134.50: /* External links */

2014-05-19T08:04:27Z

External links

← Older revision		Revision as of 09:04, 19 May 2014
Line 10:		Line 10:
	Very nice site!		Very nice site!

	~~==External links==~~		Very nice site!
	*[http://www-personal.umich.edu/~chadjo/talks/LaunchSystems.ppt Michigan Mars Society - Launch Systems: Today and Tomorrow]

	~~[[Category: Concepts]]~~
	~~[[Category: Economics]]~~

	==References==		==References==
	<references/>		<references/>

109.195.146.61: /* Cost estimations in existing publications */

2014-05-16T18:12:28Z

Cost estimations in existing publications

← Older revision		Revision as of 19:12, 16 May 2014
Line 8:		Line 8:
	Very nice site!		Very nice site!

	~~==Cost estimations in existing publications==~~		Very nice site!
	*[http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn4551-bush-to-announce-manned-mission-to-mars.html NewScientist 2004: ''"A human mission to Mars is expected to cost $40 billion to $80 billion."'']
	*[http://www.marsdaily.com/reports/The_Appeal_Of_Mars_999.html MARS DAILY 2007: ''"U.S. experts estimate the cost of a manned mission to Mars at $500 billion. Russia believes it can place cosmonauts on the planet's surface in the next 12 years for just $14 billion, ..."'']
	*[[Mars direct]] was estimated by NASA to be $55 billion
	*[[Mars One]] is planned to cost "six billion US dollars".

	These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.

	==External links==		==External links==

176.58.22.45: /* Cost per person from Earth to Earth's orbit */

2014-05-15T11:45:04Z

Cost per person from Earth to Earth's orbit

@@ Line 6: / Line 6: @@
 Very nice site!
-==Cost per person from Earth to Earth's orbit==
+Very nice site!
 ==Cost estimations in existing publications==

93.136.35.142: /* Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned) */

2014-05-14T04:52:50Z

Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned)

@@ Line 4: / Line 4: @@
 Where To Purchase Generic Ciprofloxacin 0.3 5ml in Albuquerque faakdebkkgacaekc
-==Cost per kg from Earth to Low earth orbit (unmanned)==
+Very nice site!
 ==Cost per person from Earth to Earth's orbit==