Difference between revisions of "Financial effort estimation"

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*USA, SpaceShipThree: A possible orbital spaceplane by Scaled Composites.
 
*USA, SpaceShipThree: A possible orbital spaceplane by Scaled Composites.
  
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==Cost estimations in existing publications==
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In the complicated world we live in, it's good to find simple soltiuons.
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*[http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn4551-bush-to-announce-manned-mission-to-mars.html NewScientist 2004: ''"A human mission to Mars is expected to cost $40 billion to $80 billion."'']
 
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*[http://www.marsdaily.com/reports/The_Appeal_Of_Mars_999.html MARS DAILY 2007: ''"U.S. experts estimate the cost of a manned mission to Mars at $500 billion. Russia believes it can place cosmonauts on the planet's surface in the next 12 years for just $14 billion, ..."'']
 
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*Mars direct was estimated by NASA to be $55 billion
 
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These huge differences are the result of different mission targets - simple mission of flying to Mars and back (plans by Roskosmos (Russia) - similar to lunar Apollo program) is far more cheaper than permanent setlement or even NASA expediture mission (staying 90 days or about year). Expensivness of current NASA mission plans mostly comes from the fact, that they includes LEO, Moon base stages with 3+ subsequential flies to Mars, with manned ~600 day stay.
 
  
 
==External links==
 
==External links==

Revision as of 17:46, 27 September 2011

The cost to orbit

This page is a collection of Financial effort estimations. It covers all planning, preperations, material, transport, administration, etc.

Systematics

There are several stages that can be calculated separately:

  • Transportation from Earth to Earth's orbit
  • Transportation from Earth's orbit to Mars' orbit
  • Transportation from Earth's orbit to Mars' surface
  • Transportation from Earth's orbit to Earth's moon
  • Transportation from Earth's moon to Mars' orbit
  • Transportation from Earth's moon to Mars' surface

Shoot, who would have thuhogt that it was that easy?

Cost per person from Earth to Earth's orbit

Here the mass of the person with an average of 70 kg is only part of it. Additional mass is calculated for the life support systems. Rockets must be man-rated for them to be used in manned transportation to space.

Current:

  • USA, Space Shuttle: A partially re-usable manned transportation system. Cost estimates range from $100 million to $1 billion per launch.
  • Russia, Soyuz-TMA :A robust module in its fifth generation of Soyuz-spacecraft. Cheaper than the Space Shuttle.
  • China, Shenzou: The Chinese manned spacecraft, 3 manned flights have been launched.

Planned:

  • USA, SpaceX Dragon: An upcoming manned spacecraft, the first by a private corporation. Might enable cheap manned access to orbit by the SpaceX rockets using the Falcon9 rocket. Cost: $49.9 million, plus a Dragon module (cost unknown atm).
  • USA, Orion spacecraft: Will be using the new Ares I rocket, and will replace the Space Shuttle.

the ares 1 and ares V programm are canceled the new SLS launcher in devellopement ( 70 000KG to 130 000KG to earth's orbit ) will be use for Orion spacecraft

  • USA, SpaceShipThree: A possible orbital spaceplane by Scaled Composites.

In the complicated world we live in, it's good to find simple soltiuons.

External links

References

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